Immigration Voice - Forums - Legacy
Register Get Involved Contact Lawmakers Advocacy Discussion Image Image Image Image

Go Back   Immigration Voice > Analysis Discussion > Retrogression, priority dates and Visa bulletins
Click to log in with Facebook
Retrogression, priority dates and Visa bulletins Issues surrounding the retrogression of the priority dates for the various employment based categories

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #16  
Old 05-12-2010, 05:02 PM
Member
Priority Date
:
Mar-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
04/10/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
07/02/2007
Compare
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 27
dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of dentist1 has much to be proud of
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by vin13 View Post
Good review of previous performance.

What could be different this year compared to previous years are

1) DOS seems to make sure no visas are wasted and so may not want to wait for the last 2 months of the fiscal year.

2) More cases are pre-adjudicated which makes it easier for them to initiate the fall-across/fall-down in July than wait for August.

3) DOS has been good at not retrogressing the the visa dates further back in the last few months. They either stay where they are or move forward. But not back. This indicates that they are paying more attention and not randomly opening up visas. This means they want to issue visas by priority dates which would need proper planning (to make sure nothing gets wasted)


All these above factors may influence them to open up in July than August. Again, these are my gut feel.

Thanks for the information Vin, my question to you is where do you see the dates for EB2 India in July 2010?
Thanks again.
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


0 out of 1 members found this post helpful.
  #17  
Old 05-12-2010, 05:55 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Oct-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
02/10/2007
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
07/29/2007
Compare
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 130
desitechie is a name known to all desitechie is a name known to all desitechie is a name known to all desitechie is a name known to all desitechie is a name known to all desitechie is a name known to all
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dentist1 View Post
Thanks for the information Vin, my question to you is where do you see the dates for EB2 India in July 2010?
Thanks again.
July--->Sep 2010 will go to Dec 2005 (pessimistic) or Apr 2006 (Optimistic)
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


0 out of 1 members found this post helpful.
  #18  
Old 05-12-2010, 06:49 PM
Member
Priority Date
:
Aug-05
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
09/29/2005
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
09/29/2005
Compare
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 55
a_paradkar will become famous soon enough
Default

if their is any spill over then
the dates of China and India will be same for EB2 in July VB. then the actual spill over will happen in Aug & Sep... assuming the prediction numbers are true.
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


  #19  
Old 05-12-2010, 06:54 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Nov-07
Category
:
EB3
I140 Mailed Date
:
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
:
Compare
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 202
sidbee is a splendid one to behold sidbee is a splendid one to behold sidbee is a splendid one to behold sidbee is a splendid one to behold sidbee is a splendid one to behold sidbee is a splendid one to behold sidbee is a splendid one to behold
Default

This thread is a crap fck.
Why are we speculating the dates just for the heck.Pl stop this.
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


0 out of 1 members found this post helpful.
  #20  
Old 05-12-2010, 08:16 PM
Donor
Priority Date
:
Jan-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
03/01/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/01/2007
Compare
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 394
WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC has a reputation beyond repute
Default how far ahead will the date move.

Can any expert say what will be the cutoff date after the spill over for EB2.
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


  #21  
Old 05-12-2010, 08:31 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Oct-07
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
:
11/03/2011
Compare
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 900
belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute belmontboy has a reputation beyond repute
Default

best case july 2007
worst case oct 2006.
__________________
PD: Oct 2007, EB2
I-140 - Approved Sep 2008.
485 - Nov 4, 2011 (RD)
485 approved on Jan 25,2012.
Physical cards received on Jan 30, 2012
one time contribution - 100$
one time contribution for April 2011 Advocacy days - 50$
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


0 out of 1 members found this post helpful.
  #22  
Old 05-12-2010, 08:57 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Nov-05
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
04/10/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
07/25/2007
Compare
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 121
immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of immi_seeker has much to be proud of
Default prediction

Quote:
Originally Posted by wait_for_ever_gc View Post
can any expert say what will be the cutoff date after the spill over for eb2.
best : July 1st 2006

worst: Otcober 1st 2005
__________________
Made one time $100 contribution.

PD : NOV 2005, EB2
I140 Approval date : july 20 2006, Nebraska
I-1485 Application recieved at uscis : july 27 2007
Notice Date : Aug 24th 2007
FP date : Sep 19th 2007

GOT GREENED ON 08/06/2010
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


  #23  
Old 05-13-2010, 10:43 AM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Dec-05
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
04/20/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/01/2007
Compare
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 267
FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of FinalGC has much to be proud of
Cool See Jan 2010 Visa Bulletin for predictions

I would go with the prediction in the Jan 2010 Visa Bulletin:

WHAT ARE THE PROJECTIONS FOR CUT-OFF DATE MOVEMENT IN THE EMPLOYMENT PREFERENCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF FY-2010?
Based on current indications of demand, the best case scenarios for cut-off dates which will be reached by the end of FY-2010 are as follows:
Employment Second:
China: July through October 2005................CHINA IS ALREADY AT NOV 2005...SO THIS HAS HAPPENED
India: February through early March 2005.........ONE MONTH BEHIND HERE....NOT BAD WITH THE PREDICTION

If Section 202(a)(5)were to apply:
China and India: October through December 2005 ..................THIS IS THE SPILLOVER CHANCES FOR JULY-SEPT 2010....MOST LIKELY IT WILL CLOSE AT JAN 1, 2006
__________________
PD- EB2/India - 12/21/2005, NSC
485 applied 08/02/2007,
FP - 10/07, 140 approved.
Did not apply for EAD and AP
GREENED Aug 12, 2010

************************************************** ******************************
If my post has been helpful, please consider contributing to immigrationvoice. It will help us continue this effort and serve the community. Thank you.
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


  #24  
Old 05-13-2010, 11:40 AM
nrk nrk is offline
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Apr-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/05/2007
Compare
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 220
nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts
Default

If it goes to Dec 2005 in Sept 2010 (optimistic) for me, pessimistic would be June 2005

Quote:
Originally Posted by desitechie View Post
July--->Sep 2010 will go to Dec 2005 (pessimistic) or Apr 2006 (Optimistic)
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


  #25  
Old 05-13-2010, 12:00 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Nov-05
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
02/20/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
07/02/2007
Compare
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 268
H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future H1B-GC has a brilliant future
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FinalGC View Post
I would go with the prediction in the Jan 2010 Visa Bulletin:

WHAT ARE THE PROJECTIONS FOR CUT-OFF DATE MOVEMENT IN THE EMPLOYMENT PREFERENCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF FY-2010?
Based on current indications of demand, the best case scenarios for cut-off dates which will be reached by the end of FY-2010 are as follows:
Employment Second:
China: July through October 2005................CHINA IS ALREADY AT NOV 2005...SO THIS HAS HAPPENED
India: February through early March 2005.........ONE MONTH BEHIND HERE....NOT BAD WITH THE PREDICTION

If Section 202(a)(5)were to apply:
China and India: October through December 2005 ..................THIS IS THE SPILLOVER CHANCES FOR JULY-SEPT 2010....MOST LIKELY IT WILL CLOSE AT JAN 1, 2006
But you have to remember that it moved 10 Days for EB2-I in 9 Months in the Fiscal Year!!!
__________________

Contributed : $225
Help IV to help yourself!!

EB2-India
Labor PD: 11/2005
I-140 AD: 07/2006
I-485 RD: 07/02/2007
I-485 AD: :8/4/2010
Card Received : 8/13/2010
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


  #26  
Old 05-13-2010, 12:35 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Mar-05
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
02/01/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
07/20/2007
Compare
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 562
vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute vin13 has a reputation beyond repute
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FinalGC View Post
I would go with the prediction in the Jan 2010 Visa Bulletin:

WHAT ARE THE PROJECTIONS FOR CUT-OFF DATE MOVEMENT IN THE EMPLOYMENT PREFERENCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF FY-2010?
Based on current indications of demand, the best case scenarios for cut-off dates which will be reached by the end of FY-2010 are as follows:
Employment Second:
China: July through October 2005................CHINA IS ALREADY AT NOV 2005...SO THIS HAS HAPPENED
India: February through early March 2005.........ONE MONTH BEHIND HERE....NOT BAD WITH THE PREDICTION

If Section 202(a)(5)were to apply:
China and India: October through December 2005 ..................THIS IS THE SPILLOVER CHANCES FOR JULY-SEPT 2010....MOST LIKELY IT WILL CLOSE AT JAN 1, 2006
I tend to agree with you. Projections by DOS seems to be closer to reality.
I would stay conservative contrary to many other predictions.

1) China moving to Nov 2005 is a good thing for India. This means India will get all the remaining fall-down/fall-across numbers until priority date reaches Nov 2005. After that both India and China will share and move the dates by a month or so. This should get India to Dec 2005 to Jan 2006.

2) Many see the dates have not moved much for so many months. So they can be skeptical about the date movements in the last few months. The reason why i anticipate much larger movements in the final months is due to the fact that India gets about 3 times more visas through fall-across/fall-down than what is alloted for just India.

2009 info
Country cap for Eb-2 - aprox. 2800
2009 India for Eb-2 was 10,116.
fall-down/fall-across numbers 10,116 - 2800 = aprox. 7316

So we can see that visa movement for India (Eb-2) is greatly influenced by the number of fall-down/fall-across which seem to happen mostly in the last quarter.
__________________
Used AC21 twice
Greened on 07/20/10
Bookmark and Share Compare Reply With Quote


Reply

Bookmarks


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Visa bulletin out. Unexpected date movement imh1b Interesting Topics 7 03-10-2010 10:42 AM
Ron Gotcher's views on likely visa cut off date movement indyanguy All other Green Card Issues 2 06-10-2009 03:37 PM
movement of eb2 priority date theOne Receipt tracker of 485, EAD and AP applications 2 04-04-2008 01:20 AM
Tracking Receipts - With Filing Date from July 3rd to July 16th BharatPremi Receipt tracker of 485, EAD and AP applications 4 09-28-2007 02:58 PM
Priority Date Movement and H1B Extension Strategies ApprovedI140 All other Green Card Issues 0 06-20-2007 03:26 AM



All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:23 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.7.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2022, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.3.0 (Unregistered)
(c)ImmigrationVoice.org